{"id":7334,"date":"2026-01-21T02:30:05","date_gmt":"2026-01-21T02:30:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/godshand.link\/ground_post\/addressing-multidomain-nuclear-escalation-risk\/"},"modified":"2026-01-21T02:30:05","modified_gmt":"2026-01-21T02:30:05","slug":"addressing-multidomain-nuclear-escalation-risk","status":"publish","type":"ground_post","link":"https:\/\/godshand.link\/en_gb\/ground_post\/addressing-multidomain-nuclear-escalation-risk\/","title":{"rendered":"Addressing Multidomain Nuclear Escalation Risk"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<section class=\"content column\">\n<div class=\"highlighted\">\n<div data-drupal-messages-fallback class=\"hidden\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>    <a target=\"_blank\" id=\"main-content\"><\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"sipri-2016-breadcrumbs\" class=\"block block-system\">\n<nav role=\"navigation\" aria-labelledby=\"system-breadcrumb\">\n<h2 class=\"visually-hidden\">Breadcrumb<\/h2>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<span><br \/>\n          \t\t            \t\t<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sipri.org\/publications\">SIPRI Publications<\/a><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span><\/p>\n<\/nav><\/div>\n<div id=\"sipri-2016-page-title\" class=\"block block-core\">\n<h1>\n<span>Addressing Multidomain Nuclear Escalation Risk<\/span><br \/>\n<\/h1>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"views-element-container block block-views\" id=\"views-block-publications-block-4\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"js-view-dom-id-81e0a2104eeccc81982460a093616523acbc146147028590d1b8b80cdcb39fba\">\n<div class=\"views-row\">\n<div class=\"views-field views-field-field-image\">\n<div class=\"field-content\">  <img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sipri.org\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/publications_lareg\/public\/2026-01\/rpp_2026_01_multidomain_escalation_risks_cover_0.jpg?itok=wESdGfSZ\" width=\"290\" height=\"435\" alt=\"RPP 2026 01 Multidomain escalation risks_cover\"><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"views-field views-field-view\"><span class=\"field-content\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"js-view-dom-id-dd5d906b3a3918ee15b7853f1ca4b1854eb2eff81a0b9a2a7c436daf9072474c\">\n<p> <span class=\"_691 views-row\"><br \/>\n  <span class=\"views-field views-field-title\"><span class=\"field-content\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sipri.org\/about\/bios\/dr-wilfred-wan\" hreflang=\"en\">Dr Wilfred Wan<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"views-field views-field-field-year-of-publication\">\n<div class=\"field-content\">January 2026<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"views-field views-field-field-publisher-loaction\">\n<div class=\"field-content\">Stockholm<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"views-field views-field-field-publisher-name\">\n<div class=\"field-content\">SIPRI<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"views-field views-field-field-doi\">\n<p class=\"field-content\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.55163\/XMPJ2147\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.55163\/XMPJ2147<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<div id=\"sipri-2016-content\" class=\"block block-system\">\n<div data-history-node-id=\"7644\" class=\"node node--type-publication node--view-mode-full ds-1col clearfix\">\n<div class=\"field-pdf-full-publication field--label-hidden\">\n<div class=\"field-items\">\n<div class=\"field-item button_style\">\n\t<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sipri.org\/sites\/default\/files\/2026-01\/rpp_2026_01_multidomain_escalation_risks_1.pdf\">DOWNLOAD FULL PUBLICATION<\/a>\n      <\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"body field--label-hidden\">\n<div class=\"field-items\">\n<div class=\"field-item\">\n<p>Contemporary warfare is characterized by military operations that encompass multiple arenas\u2014from air, land and sea to the increasingly prominent cyber, outer space and information domains\u2014and feature the convergence of advanced technological capabilities. New vectors of vulnerability stemming from this and from increasing interactions between nuclear and non-nuclear capabilities raise the spectre of escalation and introduce new potential pathways for nuclear weapon use.<\/p>\n<p>These new risks have not been thoroughly explored in national policies or multilateral forums. Effectively addressing multidomain escalation risk requires that nuclear-armed states revisit the concept of \u2018strategic stability\u2019 and systematically map multidomain escalation scenarios while engaging non-nuclear-armed states and other stakeholders. The toolkit for avoiding and managing crisis also needs to be updated to reflect multidomain risk scenarios. These and other pragmatic steps can help prevent escalation pathways from coming into fruition. A longer-term approach is required to reverse both arms racing trends and current thinking regarding strategic capabilities.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"field-contents field--label-above\">\n<div class=\"label\">Table of contents<\/div>\n<div class=\"field-items\">\n<div class=\"field-item\">\n<p class=\"p1\">I.<span class=\"Apple-tab-span\"> <\/span>Presumptions of strategic instability<span class=\"Apple-tab-span\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">II.<span class=\"Apple-tab-span\"> <\/span>Escalation variables<span class=\"Apple-tab-span\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">III.<span class=\"Apple-tab-span\"> <\/span>Multidomain de-escalation<span class=\"Apple-tab-span\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">IV.<span class=\"Apple-tab-span\"> <\/span>Towards a holistic approach<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h3>ABOUT THE AUTHOR(S)\/EDITORS<\/h3>\n<div class=\"dynamic-block-fieldnode-commentary-about-the-authors field--label-hidden\">\n<div class=\"field-items\">\n<div class=\"field-item\">\n<div class=\"views-element-container\">\n<div class=\"js-view-dom-id-8df5706f822c5b285730e1d530a536a0928d8749d8a374376954971ad8b81642\">\n<div class=\"views-row\">\n<div class=\"views-field views-field-field-image\">\n<div class=\"field-content\">  <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sipri.org\/about\/bios\/dr-wilfred-wan\" hreflang=\"en\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sipri.org\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/thumbnail\/public\/2022-09\/wilfred_wan.jpg?itok=UgRxvNd2\" width=\"100\" height=\"100\" alt=\"Dr Wilfred Wan \"><\/p>\n<p><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"views-field views-field-body\">\n<div class=\"field-content\"> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sipri.org\/about\/bios\/dr-wilfred-wan\" hreflang=\"en\">Dr Wilfred Wan<\/a> is the Director of the SIPRI Weapons of Mass Destruction Programme.<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" id=\"back-to-top\" href=\"#\" class=\"btn btn-primary btn-lg back-to-top\" role=\"button\" title=\"Click to return to the top of the page\" data-toggle=\"tooltip\" data-placement=\"left\"><br \/>\n<i class=\"fa fa-chevron-circle-up fa-4x\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i><\/a><br \/>\n  <\/section>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sipri.org\/publications\/2026\/policy-reports\/addressing-multidomain-nuclear-escalation-risk?rand=6456\" target=\"_blank\">Source link <\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Breadcrumb SIPRI Publications Addressing Multidomain Nuclear Escalation Risk Dr Wilfred Wan January 2026 Stockholm SIPRI https:\/\/doi.org\/10.55163\/XMPJ2147 DOWNLOAD FULL PUBLICATION Contemporary warfare is characterized by military operations that encompass multiple arenas\u2014from air, land and sea to the increasingly prominent cyber, outer space and information domains\u2014and feature the convergence of advanced technological capabilities. New vectors of vulnerability stemming from this and from&hellip;<\/p>","protected":false},"author":99050,"featured_media":7335,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"give_campaign_id":0,"footnotes":""},"tags":[441,1259,1257,1258,1260],"ground_category":[315,317],"class_list":["post-7334","ground_post","type-ground_post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-addressing","tag-escalation","tag-multidomain","tag-nuclear","tag-risk","ground_category-2-grounds-tribulation","ground_category-2-2-time-dispute"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.sipri.org\/sites\/default\/files\/2026-01\/rpp_2026_01_multidomain_escalation_risks_cover_0.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/godshand.link\/en_gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ground_post\/7334","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/godshand.link\/en_gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ground_post"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/godshand.link\/en_gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/ground_post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/godshand.link\/en_gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/99050"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/godshand.link\/en_gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7334"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/godshand.link\/en_gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ground_post\/7334\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/godshand.link\/en_gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7335"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/godshand.link\/en_gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7334"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/godshand.link\/en_gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7334"},{"taxonomy":"ground_category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/godshand.link\/en_gb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ground_category?post=7334"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}